February 23, 2026 | Finery Markets
Bitcoin continues to trade in a compression regime, ETF flows remain structurally negative, and liquidity conditions show few signs of decisive improvement. Beneath subdued price action, institutions keep betting on infrastructure: European asset managers are issuing tokenized money market shares on Ethereum, CME is going fully 24/7 for crypto futures, BlackRock is preparing a staked ETH ETF, and corporate treasury accumulation persists.
Welcome to a new week in crypto.
Bitcoin remains below Glassnode’s “True Market Mean” near $79,000 — a key onchain valuation model that tracks the aggregate cost basis of active supply. Historically, this level has separated expansionary phases from compression regimes. With BTC trading around $67,000, the break confirms a structural reset, placing the asset within a corridor bounded by the True Market Mean above and the Realized Price near $54,900 below.
In previous cycles, this valuation corridor framed extended consolidation phases rather than immediate V-shaped recoveries. The current setup resembles late-cycle compression conditions where price oscillates within a structurally defined band until liquidity conditions shift meaningfully.
ETF flows reinforce the absence of a strong marginal bid. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have now posted five consecutive weeks of net outflows, removing roughly $3.8 billion since late January. Spot cumulative volume delta across exchanges has flipped negative, indicating active sell-side pressure rather than thin passive liquidity.
Derivatives data suggests panic has cooled, but optimism has not returned. Implied volatility has compressed and downside hedging demand has eased, yet traders are not rebuilding upside exposure in size. Analysts broadly agree that structural recovery will require improving liquidity conditions — not just positioning resets.
BNP Paribas Asset Management launched a tokenized share class of a French-domiciled money market fund using Ethereum infrastructure under a permissioned access model. The pilot tested issuance, transfer agency, tokenization mechanics, and public-chain connectivity within a controlled regulatory framework.
Holdings and transfers are restricted to authorized participants, demonstrating how institutions are leveraging public blockchain settlement while maintaining compliance guardrails. The structure reflects a broader trend: tokenization is not replacing traditional fund structures but modernizing their settlement and transfer layers.
BNP has previously issued tokenized money market instruments and is reportedly involved in experiments connecting SWIFT to Ethereum Layer 2 networks. The expansion onto public Ethereum infrastructure signals growing comfort among systemically important financial institutions with blockchain-native rails when combined with gated access controls.
Rather than speculative experimentation, this represents incremental operational integration — testing whether blockchain-based issuance can reduce reconciliation friction, improve transparency, and streamline post-trade processes.
U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs shed another $316 million last week, marking the fifth consecutive week of net redemptions. While the magnitude has moderated compared with late January’s billion-dollar weeks, the persistence signals sustained institutional caution.
Ether ETFs mirrored the trend, recording $123 million in outflows and extending their own five-week losing streak. Combined, BTC and ETH funds have seen over $5 billion withdrawn in recent weeks, reinforcing the broader liquidity compression theme.
However, the picture is not uniform across digital assets. Spot Solana ETFs recorded approximately $14 million in net inflows, and XRP funds posted modest gains. This divergence suggests rotation within the ecosystem rather than wholesale capital flight.
Cumulative net inflows since launch still exceed $54 billion, and total AUM remains around $85 billion. The structural ETF footprint is intact, even if marginal demand has cooled materially.
Closed-door meetings between crypto firms, major banks, and White House officials continued as policymakers attempt to finalize stablecoin yield provisions within broader crypto market structure legislation.
The core debate centers on whether stablecoin holders should be permitted to earn yield. Banks argue that allowing yield would accelerate deposit flight from traditional institutions, particularly community banks. Crypto firms contend that prohibiting rewards would suppress innovation and entrench incumbents.
The GENIUS Act bars issuers from paying direct interest but leaves space for certain third-party reward structures under defined conditions. Negotiations remain ongoing, with market participants watching closely for clarity before midterm political timelines compress legislative windows.
Prediction markets have reflected volatility in perceived passage probability, recently stabilizing near 70%. Industry leaders remain cautiously optimistic, though stablecoin yield remains one of the final major sticking points.
CME Group will begin offering round-the-clock cryptocurrency futures and options trading starting May 29, closing the structural timing gap between continuously traded spot markets and regulated derivatives venues.
Digital assets trade 24/7 globally, yet regulated derivatives historically operated within traditional market hours. CME’s shift addresses institutional hedging inefficiencies and aligns regulated crypto derivatives with spot market behavior.
The exchange reported $3 trillion in notional crypto derivatives volume in 2025, with futures volume up 47% year-over-year. Average daily open interest has also expanded, reflecting persistent institutional engagement even amid price compression.
As exchanges compete for derivatives market share, CME’s move signals further normalization of crypto within regulated financial infrastructure — particularly as institutions demand uninterrupted risk management tools.
BlackRock amended its S-1 filing for the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust (ticker: ETHB), which plans to stake 70–95% of held ETH under normal conditions. Unlike its existing spot ETH ETF, this structure would incorporate protocol-native staking rewards.
The trust will charge a 0.25% sponsor fee (reduced to 0.12% on the first $2.5 billion for 12 months) and retain 18% of gross staking rewards split between BlackRock and Coinbase Prime. Between 5% and 30% of assets will remain unstaked to facilitate liquidity needs.
This structure represents a meaningful evolution in institutional crypto exposure — shifting from passive price tracking to integrated yield participation. As staking becomes operationally normalized within regulated wrappers, Ethereum’s yield profile may increasingly resemble fixed-income allocation logic rather than purely growth exposure.
The filing underscores that institutional appetite extends beyond directional exposure and increasingly includes embedded onchain yield streams.
Strategy acquired an additional 2,486 BTC, bringing total holdings to 717,131 BTC — more than 3.4% of total supply. The position currently reflects roughly $5.7 billion in mark-to-market losses amid price compression.
The purchases were funded through ongoing at-the-market equity and preferred stock issuance under the firm’s expanded $84 billion capital program. Management reiterated confidence in the balance sheet, stating that even severe downside scenarios would not threaten solvency.
Strategy’s market cap-to-net asset value ratio remains compressed near 0.91, meaning the equity trades below the value of its bitcoin holdings. The dynamic reflects broader skepticism toward leveraged treasury models during downturns.
Nevertheless, corporate treasury adoption continues expanding across public companies, reinforcing bitcoin’s evolving role as a balance-sheet asset despite cyclical volatility.
A new global study from BVNK, Coinbase, and Artemis highlights how stablecoins are increasingly used for savings, payroll, and cross-border payments rather than purely trading activity.
More than half of surveyed respondents reported holding stablecoins in the past year, with many allocating roughly one-third of savings to crypto and stablecoins combined. Adoption rates were higher in lower- and middle-income economies, where currency volatility and payment friction are greater.
Among freelancers and gig workers paid in stablecoins, tokens account for approximately 35% of annual earnings. Respondents reported average fee savings of around 40% compared with traditional remittance channels.
With roughly $300 billion in circulating supply, stablecoins are steadily transitioning from crypto-native collateral instruments to globally utilized digital dollar rails. Regulatory clarity in the U.S. and abroad will likely determine the speed and shape of that integration.
At Finery Markets, we continue to monitor how liquidity regimes, ETF flows, tokenized fund issuance, derivatives evolution, treasury behavior, and stablecoin adoption are reshaping institutional digital asset markets. This newsletter is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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